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Not investment advice. Educational reading. See Disclaimer.
L.1 · INTERMEDIATE · 2 MIN

The Five Cs of Credit Analysis

Credit analysts evaluate five dimensions known as the '5 Cs': Character, Capacity, Capital, Collateral, and Conditions. Unlike equity analysts who focus on upside potential, credit analysts focus on downside risk - will this company pay back its debt?

Quiz · 5 questions ↓
§ 01
CWhat It MeasuresKey Questions
CharacterManagement integrity and track recordDo they honor commitments? History of defaults?
CapacityAbility to service debt from cash flowIs cash flow stable enough to cover interest + principal?
CapitalBalance sheet strengthHow much equity cushion? Asset quality?
CollateralAsset backing for the loanWhat can lenders claim if the borrower defaults? How much would it recover?
ConditionsExternal environmentIndustry cycle? Regulatory risk? Economic outlook?
§ 02

Credit analysis is asymmetric: the best outcome for a bondholder is getting your money back plus interest. The worst outcome is total loss. This asymmetry means credit analysts are trained to think about what can go wrong, not what can go right.

§ 03
Look up a company in **Fundamentals** and evaluate it through the 5 Cs lens. Can it cover its interest expense? Is the balance sheet strong? What collateral backs the senior debt? Is the industry in growth or decline?
§ 04
An equity analyst rates a company a ‘Strong Buy’ based on 30% revenue growth. A credit analyst rates the same company’s debt ‘B’ (high risk). Can both be right?
§ 05

Even equity investors benefit from credit analysis. If a company’s credit is deteriorating, the stock is likely to underperform — rising borrowing costs, restricted financial flexibility, and potential distress all destroy equity value.

Five questions · AI feedback

Sit with the ideas.

A company has stable cash flows, low leverage, excellent management, but operates in an industry facing structural decline (e.g., print newspapers). Which of the 4 Cs is the biggest concern?

Why:
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BDC yield spread vs Treasuries

Pick a publicly-traded BDC (ARCC, BXSL, OBDC, MAIN, etc.). Compute the spread between the BDC's dividend yield and the 10-year Treasury yield. Paper-buy with a thesis explaining whether the spread compensates for the credit risk you're taking.

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