Vega grows with time to expiration
| At-the-money call on a $100 stock | Approximate vega | If implied volatility rises 5 points | If implied volatility falls 5 points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days to expiration | $0.06 | about +$0.30 | about −$0.30 |
| 30 days to expiration | $0.11 | about +$0.55 | about −$0.55 |
| 90 days to expiration | $0.20 | about +$1.00 | about −$1.00 |
| One year to expiration | $0.40 | about +$2.00 | about −$2.00 |
What vega measures, and which side you are on
Vega is dollars per point. It is the change in an option's price for a one-percentage-point change in implied volatility, holding the stock and the calendar still. Buyers are long vega on both calls and puts, because a wider expected range makes any option more likely to be worth something; writers are short vega for the mirror reason. Notice what the table above says about time: vega scales UP with the remaining life of the contract, which is the opposite of theta's shape. A weekly contract barely notices a volatility move; a one-year contract is dominated by it. That single contrast explains why short-dated trades are theta stories and long-dated trades are volatility stories, and why matching the instrument to the thesis matters more than picking a clever strike.
Reading vega on a quiet day
Walking through an earnings-week volatility collapse
Set the scene the night before a scheduled earnings report. The market knows a large move is coming but not which way, so implied volatility on the near-dated strikes is bid up hard. Our trader buys an at-the-money call for $3.00. Delta is 0.50, vega is $0.11, and implied volatility is sitting far above where the same contract traded a month ago.
The print lands and the stock gaps up $2 — a genuinely correct directional call. Delta credits the position with roughly 0.50 × $2 = $1.00 per share. So far the trade is working exactly as intended.
Then the volatility side settles up. With the uncertainty resolved, implied volatility collapses by 30 points. Vega bills the position $0.11 × 30 = $3.30 per share. Netting the two effects: $3.00 + $1.00 − $3.30 = $0.70. The call is worth about seventy cents against the $3.00 that was paid for it.
This is the IV crush. The trader was right about direction, right about the magnitude being meaningful, and still lost most of the premium, because the volatility they bought was mathematically certain to deflate once the event passed. The buyer of an event-week option is paying peak retail for a component with a known expiry date.
Pricing the crush
Compare implied volatility across expirations
Who is on which side of a volatility move
Sit with the ideas.
You hold a 90-day at-the-money call with a vega of $0.20 and a delta of 0.50. Overnight the stock is unchanged but implied volatility falls 6 points. What happens to the option?