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L.4 · INTERMEDIATE · 2 MIN

Portfolio Risk Decomposition: Where Your Risk Comes From

Total portfolio risk is not simply the sum of each position’s risk — correlations between holdings matter enormously. Risk decomposition reveals where your risk is actually coming from.

Quiz · 5 questions ↓

Diversification only works below correlation 1.0

A portfolio of 20 stocks in different sectors has less risk than 20 stocks in the same sector, even if each stock’s individual volatility is identical. Diversification reduces risk only when correlations are less than 1.0.

Which portfolio risks you can diversify away

Risk SourceWhat It CapturesCan You Diversify It?
Market (systematic)Broad market movementsNo — affects all stocks
SectorIndustry-specific factorsYes — diversify across sectors
IdiosyncraticCompany-specific eventsYes — add more holdings
FactorValue, growth, size, momentum exposuresOnly by balancing factor exposures

Check whether your holdings share hidden risk

List your top 5 holdings. Are they in different sectors with different risk factors? Or are they all tech stocks that will move together in a downturn? True diversification requires uncorrelated risk sources.

Name diversification versus factor diversification

Your portfolio has 15 positions across ‘different’ stocks, but 12 are high-growth tech companies. Are you diversified?

Correlations spike exactly when you need diversification

Correlations spike during crises — exactly when you need diversification most. The diversification you think you have in normal markets may disappear in a selloff. Stress-test your portfolio at crisis-level correlations.

Finding the dominant source of portfolio risk

A portfolio's total risk is 22%. Decomposition shows 10% from AAPL (one position, ~40% weight), 6% from market-beta, 4% from sector exposures, 2% noise. What's the biggest opportunity to reduce risk?
Check your understanding

Sit with the ideas.

A portfolio holds 20 stocks equally weighted at 5% each. Stock A has a beta of 2.1 and a correlation of 0.85 with the rest of the portfolio. Stock B has a beta of 0.7 and a correlation of 0.15 with the rest. Which stock contributes more to total portfolio risk?

Why:
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