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L.6 · ADVANCED · 2 MIN

Reorganization Plans and Fulcrum Security Analysis

The reorganization plan specifies how each creditor class is treated. The fulcrum security — the layer of debt that is partially impaired — is where the most money is made and lost in restructuring.

Quiz · 5 questions ↓

How each creditor class is treated

Creditor ClassTreatmentRecovery
Senior Secured (above fulcrum)Paid in full (par + accrued)100%
Fulcrum SecurityPartially impaired — receives mix of new debt, equity, cash20–80% (the variable)
Junior/Unsecured (below fulcrum)Receives little or nothing0–20% typically
EquityCancelled in most cases0%

Why the fulcrum straddles the value break

The fulcrum security is the investment opportunity. It’s the class that straddles the value break point — above it, creditors are made whole; below it, creditors get nothing. Identifying the fulcrum is the first step in distressed investing.

Waterfall reorganized value through the capital structure

In a bankruptcy case, estimate the company’s reorganized enterprise value and waterfall it through the capital structure. Where does the value run out? That layer is the fulcrum.

Locate the fulcrum by walking the priority stack

A company has $500M senior secured debt, $300M unsecured notes, and $200M subordinated bonds. Reorganized value is estimated at $650M. What’s the fulcrum security?

Why the reorganized value estimate is everything

Buying the fulcrum security at a deep discount and receiving equity in the reorganized company is the classic distressed debt play. The key is getting the reorganized value right — even small errors in that estimate swing the fulcrum’s recovery dramatically.

The tranche where value runs out

In a Chapter 11 plan: senior secured gets 95% recovery, subordinated gets 30%, equity gets wiped. The 'fulcrum security' is:
Check your understanding

Sit with the ideas.

A company has $400M secured debt, $500M senior unsecured bonds, and $300M subordinated notes. The reorganization plan values the enterprise at $700M. The plan proposes: secured gets new par debt, senior unsecured gets 60% of new equity, subordinated gets nothing. Which class is the fulcrum security, and why might the subordinated noteholders object?

Why:
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